What hope is there for
the average American worker?
Once upon a time -- in
the far-off days after World War II -- the average worker could look
forward to a steadily rising standard of living. You didn't have to be
anyone special or do anything special. Just keep doing your job, and
over the three decades from the mid-1940s through the mid-1970s you
could expect your wages to double. And that's after inflation.
That was a long time ago.
Even before the Great
Recession, wages tended
to stagnate or decline, except for the most
skilled workers in the most robust industries: technology, finance, and
so on. The middle stayed put; the top pulled away. There's little reason
to expect that situation to change after recovery arrives.
We live in a world of
global competition now, where even white-collar jobs can be outsourced
to India. If the jobs can't be exported, then the workers are imported,
via legal or illegal immigration. Outside the government sector, unions
wield little clout -- where they exist at all. For those reasons and
others, the wage share of the economy had already sunk to
record lows as of 2007.
What -- if anything --
should be done? Barack Obama and Mitt Romney each have answers, although
you have to listen carefully to reconstruct them.
Here (as I read it) is
President Obama's answer. (These are my words, except for the speech
quote.)
Purely free markets
won't be generating wage increases any time soon. There's just too much
low-wage competition out there. But we can do two things. As I outlined
in my November 2011 speech in Osawatomie,
Kansas, we can put more people to work in jobs funded by government
contracts, where government can ensure high wages and benefits. That's
what I meant when I said,
"[M]anufacturers and
other companies are setting up shop in the places with the best
infrastructure to ship their products, move their workers, communicate
with the rest of the world. And that's why the over 1 million
construction workers who lost their jobs when the housing market
collapsed, they shouldn't be sitting at home with nothing to do. They
should be rebuilding our roads and our bridges, laying down faster
railroads and broadband, modernizing our schools -- all the things other
countries are already doing to attract good jobs and businesses to
their shores.
"Yes, business, and not
government, will always be the primary generator of good jobs with
incomes that lift people into the middle class and keep them there. But
as a nation, we've always come together, through our government, to help
create the conditions where both workers and businesses can succeed."
Government
contractors can't employ everybody, however. So we'll plump up the low
wages of those in the purely private economy with a growing array of
wage supplements. We top up low pay with the Earned Income Tax Credit.
We've added 14.6 million food stamp beneficiaries. After 2014, we'll be
enrolling as many as 17 million additional low-wage workers in the
country in Medicaid. We've increased subsidies for college tuition, and
we subsidize heating fuel costs as well.
Vote for me, and
government benefits and government employment will compensate for the
wage increases the private job market does not deliver.
Mitt Romney has called
the president's vision a "government-centric" one - and that seems
exactly right.
Here's the Romney
alternative (again these are my words, not his):
I probably can't
deliver rising wages for the typical worker any better than the
president can. That's why I hardly talk about wages at all -- they're
barely mentioned in my most important economic policy statement, the 57-point plan I released last year.
My concern is less
with the typical worker and more with the most ambitious and most
talented. I want to protect the "right to rise," as my supporters in the
conservative media often phrase it. Under the president's approach,
that right will be crushed by the weight of debt and taxes -- and what's
debt, but future taxes?
Instead of greater
subsidies for those content to stay where they are, I offer lower taxes
to those who want to better their condition. Their hard work and
innovation will yield benefits for everyone.
OK, maybe money wages
haven't risen much since 1973 for the typical worker. But today that
worker has a safer car, a bigger house, and smarter appliances. He or
she enjoys products and services unimagined in 1973: personal computers,
cellphones, video on demand. Food, furniture, and vacations are all
cheaper and better. You can choose Coke with zero calories, and you
don't have to line up at the DMV to renew your license plates. All these
improvements were brought to you by people who got rich along the way
-- and so will the next wave of improvements after that. The president's
call for higher taxes on the rich will only stifle and slow consumer
progress.
The president is
offering higher taxes to support more benefits. I'm offering lower taxes
to drive more improvements in the private economy and better products
and services for you. Vote for me.
Don't expect the
candidates ever to speak that frankly -- too risky. But if you pay
attention, you can discover the inner message behind the warm fog of
campaign rhetoric. So there's your choice, America: because while we may
have put 100 new cereal varieties on the shelves, at the voting booth
it's still just Red or Blue.PLS LIKE OR SHARE
Culled: CNN
EDITED:LII
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